It's a big question and the truth is, it's possible we wont. Mathematically we are still in the mix, along with the likes of Wigan, Newcastle, Norwich, Sunderland, Southampton, Stoke and Fulham.
And that was from a quick scan of the table, there might be more and I might even have put someone in there that can't go down, but I think you know where I'm going with this.
Mathematically we are not safe, but that not only means Wigan have to win tonight and beat Arsenal, but others have to lose and others have to win. For it to go down to the wire, something we all thought possible a few weeks ago, we'd have to lose to Chelsea at the weekend and results that not many people would bet on also have to materialise.
The numbers are important
Don't get me wrong, Wigan can do this, but even if they do and we lose to Chelsea, there are other teams in the mix. Sunderland play Southampton at the weekend and if Southampton win or get a point, it means we could be witnessing one of the shortest episodes of new manager syndrome ever.
But I think Sunderland will stay up, but I do think it will come down to the last day of the season for us to find out who joins Reading and QPR. I just don't think it will be us because I think we can get something against Chelsea and I think that will be enough to put us over the edge.
And even if we don't get anything against Chelsea, are we also going to lose against Wigan and are they going to win tonight and beat Arsenal and are the likes of Newcastle, Norwich and Sunderland all going to win and go above us?
This is getting frustrating trying to figure it out. There are just too many things that might or might not happen, but my gut tells me we are safe. It doesn't mean we are, but it feels a lot better than it did a few weeks ago and that is something to be happy about.
And on that and seeing as I've pulled my hair out and I could spend another few paragraphs looking at other alternatives, I ask you this; are Aston Villa safe?