One more team will be relegated this season after QPR and Reading played out a draw yesterday and if we win tonight, there is a very good chance that it wont be Aston Villa. But that is just my opinion but you can also switch that; anything but a win tonight puts us in a very precarious situation.
I did the BBC predictor the other day and I had us losing to Manchester United but picking up three points before the last game of the season and that meant, we went into that game having to no lose. We have four games left and a win tonight, for me anyway, will be a massive step to staying up this season.
Only one result matters
The reason why winning is so important tonight is that it will put us on the same points as Sunderland and Newcastle and with Norwich and Chelsea to come, before Wigan on the last day, if things go well for us and not good for Wigan, it could mean that we can go into that last game in a happy mood.
But draw, or lose and I fancy it is going to the last game. Or actually, I'm hoping it goes to the last game.
And that is where I'm going to leave this post. You don't need me talking about how they need to fight or we need to treat tonight like an FA Cup Final. We all know what is needed. We all know how important this game is.
The Aston Villa model
You also don't need me talking about how Paul Lambert is trying to copy the Dortmund model or how most clubs with young managers are also getting stories about how their manager is trying to copy the Dortmund model.
Tonight is about winning and we can. I think we have what it takes and while I don't think the Di Canio bubble has burst and I think Sunderland will stay up, it will be made tough for them tonight and after the season they have had their confidence will be fragile.
So, until later, let the banter begin; it's Monday night football and a massive, massive match.
Team news
Starting we have Guzan, Lowton, Vlaar, Baker, Bennett, Westwood, Delph, Sylla, Weimann, Gabby and Benteke. On the bench we've got Given, Holman, Lichaj, Bent, Bowery, N’Zogbia and Bannan.